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Stress Tests Part 2 – Capital Return

By Bill Hebel Published on July 2, 2025 at 6:53 AM

With the stress tests in the rearview mirror, the 5 regionals we cover that participated this year reported out their Stress Capital Buffers as well as some color around their capital management plans. While the majority were hikes in dividend payouts, PNC & TFC did offer some color around share …

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What Stress? WFC & MTB Stand Out Amongst The Regionals

By Bill Hebel Published on June 30, 2025 at 7:04 AM

The banks came out of the Annual 2025 Stress Test with flying colors with an aggregate maximum decline in CET1 of only 1.8% for the 22 banks tested. That compares with 2.8% last year and is the best result for the banking system in the last 5 years. Key deltas …

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Regionals, Regulation & Rates (Video)

By Bill Hebel Published on June 20, 2025 at 3:25 PM

Video Catch-up with Kim Wallace & Peter Williams In tandem with our initiation of the large cap regional banks this week, please see my discussion with Kim Wallace (Washington Policy) and Peter Williams (Rates Strategy) as we discuss the glidepath for regulation and rate policy vis a vis the regional …

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Initiating the Large Cap Regional Banks w/Outperforms on Fifth Third & Regions Financial, Underperform on Wells Fargo

By Bill Hebel Published on June 17, 2025 at 4:05 PM

We’re initiating coverage of the large cap regional banks with a cautiously optimistic outlook. The reasons for optimism are primarily structural (loan & securities back book repricing, swap maturities, benign deposit competition, improved capital & regulatory outlook) while the caution is largely a function of the Administration’s realignment of economic …

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